I think Detroit is looking at Casey Mize or Joey Bart. Everyone else is out of play. I liked Brady Singer on tape, but he missed time during the 2018 SEC Tournament. I also liked Nick Madrigal and would take him over Joey Bart, but I don't believe Detroit or San Francisco feels that way.
Detroit has drafted right handed college pitchers in the past. Justin Verlander was taken second overall out of Old Dominion the last time Detroit picked this early in the draft, and the Tigers also spent a first round pick on Rick Porcello. That's why I feel like the Tigers are locked in on Casey Mize at 1.
With the 2018 MLB Draft being set to take place today, I feel like Detroit has narrowed their decision down to Casey Mize and Joey Bart. I'm not sure what Detroit will do, but I get the feeling that Casey Mize will be the top pick.
The 6-3 208 lb Casey Mize led Auburn pitchers with the lowest ERA on Auburn with a 3.52 ERA as a true freshman. Mize went 8-2 with a 2.04 ERA as a sophomore in 2017. Mize is 9-5 with a 3.07 ERA through 15 starts with 3 complete games and 1 complete game shutout in those 13 pppearances.
Casey Mize has a 95-mile per hour 4-seam fastball, a 93-mile per hour 2-seam fastball, a 84-mile per hour power curveball, a 83-mile per hour slider, and a 75-mile per hour curveball. Works from a low 3/4 arm slot. Casey Mize is a strikeout machine on tape and outpitched Brady Singer in 2017. I said heading into August of 2017, that Mize is someone who deserved to go in the top 10 when many mocks had him in the top 15. He's creeped up the boards and outpitched Singer once again in 2018 despite an improved ERA from Singer.
One scout compared him to Sandy Koufax, but that is a huge stretch. A friend of mine Brandon compared him to Dallas Keuchel and that's a more realistic comparison when you watch his splitter and everything this guy does on tape for the Auburn Tigers.
By 2021, Mize should be the ace of Detroit's starting rotation with Alex Faedo complimenting him as a number two starter. Then you will have Beau Borrows your 2015 first round pick as a number three starter. Then you got three quality prospects with Franklin Perez from the Justin Verlander trade with the Astros, Kyle Funkhouser, and Matt Manning a top 10 pick from the 2016 MLB Draft competing for those final two spots in Detroit's starting rotation. Detroit may be bad right now, but this team should have enough starting pitchers to contend for the AL Central by 2020 or 2021. Detroit may be bad right now, but I feel like they will have all of these guys in AAA or ready to make the jump to the MLB by the time Ron Gardenhire is on the hot seat.
Game, set, and match. Mize goes to Detroit and gets taken by the Detroit Tigers first overall.
I also have a film session of Casey Mize on my Youtube Channel. I posted three games of Casey Mize tape.
I like Madrigal more then Bart and have him as the top ranked player in my 2018 College Batter Rankings which you can read by clicking on the link to Joey Bart. That's irrelevant at this point because sources close to the Giants believe they will select Joey Bart or Casey Mize at 2 whoever the Tigers pass on at 1. There is a strong chance that the 2018 ACC Player of the year goes to San Francisco where he succeeds Buster Posey as the catcher over time.
I also have a film session of Joey Bart on my Youtube Channel. I posted tape of Bart versus Florida State.
Philadelphia is taking an infielder at 3 according to NBC. Philadelphia has Carlos Santana at first base, Scott Kingery at second base, and J.P. Crawford at shortstop. The lone need on this infield is at third baseman.
Alec Bohm is the third best College Batter in the class behind Nick Madrigal who is still on the board and Joey Bart. Fangraphs also believes the Phillies are locked in on Alec Bohm at 3 and I believe that. I even linked their mock draft if you scroll past all 30 of our picks along with everything in the comments section. Is this pick a reach yes. Is it going to happen. Probably.
I also have a film session of Alec Bohm on my Youtube Channel. I posted tape of Bohm versus Omaha.
Expectations are huge in Chicago. After watching the Chicago Fire ace the 2018 MLS Super Draft and the Chicago Bears do well in the 2018 NFL Draft, now all the pressure is on the Chicago White Sox to match the level of excellence that the Fire and Bears had during the draft to please Chicago Sports fans around the country. The Chicago Cubs were in this position a few years ago and got a game changer in Kyle Schwarber out of Indiana. Now the White Sox need to get a game changer at 4 or the Chicago White Sox will go down as the Sports team with the worst 2018 Draft in Chicago.
Luckily for the Chicago White Sox my two best overall players not named Casey Mize are both there. Nick Madrigal out of Oregon State and Brady Singer out of Florida. Chicago has a good young core of infielders so I'll give the White Sox the Florida Gators pitcher at 4. Regardless of who they take I expect the Reds to pounce on the player that Chicago passes on at 5.
Nick Madgrial is the best College batter in the draft. This pick will get an A+ grade for me. Madrigal can play anywhere in the outfield like Nick Senzel.
I also have a film session of Nick Madrigal on my Youtube Channel. I posted tape of Madrigal versus LSU.
The Cincinnati Reds have dominated the last two MLB Drafts with as many as 20 future MLB prospects in their farm system including 13 future batters and 7 future pitchers giving them the luxury to bring batters up long-term and reload at pitcher as well. The fact that they are getting another top 5 pick is absolute highway robbery for the Reds since they are loaded with prospects despite a poor record.
The Reds got Nick Senzel out of Tennessee at 2. I really question this pick, but if the Reds want to move Senzel to shortstop or second baseman this could work.
I also have a film session of Jonathan India on my Youtube Channel. I posted tape of India versus Louisville.
San Diego drafts a pitcher here. Ryan Weathers went 9-0 with a 0.11 ERA in 2017. He matched that ERA in 2018 and went 11-0 going 20-0 with a 0.11 ERA the last two seasons. He got a no decision in the State Championship which Loretto lost in an effort to repeat, but that's Weathers only game he pitched in the entire season where Loretto lost, and he got a no decision in the contest so the Rangers they draft Weathers at 15 and this is one team that can lure Weathers away from Vanderbilt.
The son of David Weathers who pitched on the 1996 New York Yankees World Series team has a 94-mile per hour 4-seam fastball, a 91-mile per hour 2-seam fastball, a 87-mile per hour power curveball, a 79-mile per hour curveball, a 80-mile per hour slider, and 77-mile per hour changeup. Weathers also plays basketball and is a two sport athlete.
Carter Stewart has better RPM then Charlie Morton, Rick Porcello, Justin Verlander, and Stephen Strasburg. At the same time, I like Matthew Liberatore, Ethan Hankins, Ryan Weathers, and Mason Denaburg more on tape. I'm giving the Braves a D grade.
Kyler Murray may not even sign with the Oakland Athletics. Passing on both Brady Singer and Matthew Liberatore for a player that may not even sign because he's also the starting quarterback at Oklahoma. I think Murray is more committed to football then baseball which is why I gave them an F grade here.
Travis Swaggerty had a batting average below .300 at South Alabama. I like Steele Walker out of Oklahoma and Seth Beer out of Clemson a lot more on tape. I'm giving the Pirates an F grade here even though I have this guy in my top 30.
I like Connor Scott more then Travis Swaggerty. Maybe Florida knows something we don't, but I can't just reward the Marlins for passing on five players that are still in the top 10. I'm giving them another F grade.
The Mariners got a top 10 talent at 14. This is a good pick that warrants an A- grade.
The 6-6 225 lb pitcher is a Business Systems & Analytics major. Kluber majored in Sport Management at Stetson. I'm not saying Gilbert will be Kluber. I'm pointing out how Logan Gilbert could be the under the radar College pitcher prospect that has an early impact in the MLB when he's young before peaking after 5-7 years. Gilbert reminds me a lot of Tim Lincecum coming out of Washington. I see a guy who could have a lot of early success, the question is will he maintain it as his career progresses.
Logan Gilbert went 2-1 with a 2.74 ERA as a true freshman in 2016. Gilbert improved on that with a career season in 2017 where he went 10-0 with a 2.02 ERA and 107 strikeouts in his sophomore season joining Corey Kluber in 2007 and Kurt Schluter in 2011 as the ASUN Pitcher of the Year.
So far in 2018, Gilbert is 9-1 with a 2.61 ERA in 13 starts. Gilbert is showing why he's a potential top 10 pick with his strong start this season.
Gilbert has the winning track record Kluber had. His 134 strikeouts bested the 117 strikeouts Kluber had at Stetson back in 2007 and he's someone the Pirates do not have to spend all their draft pool money on at 10 and he's someone who can help this franchise out.
The downside with Gilbert is a majority of his 4-seam fastballs max out at 92-miles per hour and his 2-seam fastball has maxed out at 91-miles per hour. He threw with more velocity during the Summer showing he could go up to 97 and his fastest pitch this year was 94-miles per hour. Gilbert has a changeup as well.
Gilbert has great delivery and pitching accuracy. He needs to refine his command, improve his velocity, and add a couple of more pitches like a curveball and slider to maximize the arsenal of his pitches.
Cole Winn is a solid pick here at 15. This is a reach though, but not as big of a reach as Carter Stewart going eighth overall. Winn rounded out my top 10 College Pitcher rankings, but there were rumors he'd go top 5 or even top 10. I'm glad teams were smart and did not reach for him here.
The 6-5 200 lb Brady Singer went 9-5 with a 3.21 ERA in 2016. Can get down 3-0 in the count and still get a strikeout. Singer also had 129 strikeouts in 126 innings pitched. Singer was a #2 starter behind Alex Faedo, but was huge for Florida during their 2017 College World Series Championship team with 21 strikeouts in 14 innings pitched during the 2017 College World Series. Singer has a 94-mile per hour 4-seam fastball, a 93-mile per hour 2-seam fastball, a 92-mile per hour splitter, a 91-mile per hour cutter fastball, a 83-mile per hour slider, a 81-mile per hour curveball, and a 79-mile per hour changeup.
So far in thirteen starts in 2018, Brady Singer is 10-1 with a 2.25 ERA with 92 strikeouts in those thirteen starts. Singer began the season 5-0 before a rough outing against Arkansas where he gave up 6 runs. Brady Singer hasn't lost since that demoralizing March 23rd contest against the Razorbacks going 7-0 since his horrendous home performance versus Arkansas.
Singer has improve his command and improved his ERA as the #1 guy in 2018. Those were the two big issues you wanted to see Singer fix on tape.
A lot of his mistakes on the mound due to him placing his feet on the mound too late before he fires the ball which is more of a mechanics and footwork. He's improved on this in 2018, and I expect him to have this issue corrected by the time he gets to the minors. Right now he's earned the right to be the top pick simply based on how much velocity he brings on his pitches along with how clutch he was during the 2017 College World Series.
One MLB scout believes Singer could be another Roger Clemens. I think Corey Kluber is a more realistic comparison at the moment though. You can make a case that Singer has better tape then Casey Mize. Mize has outperformed Singer this season, but in any other year you could argue that Singer has the stuff to be a top overall pick. This season, Singer falls to the Royals and they get another arm who can have an impact in their rotation. Singer won 2018 Baseball America Player of the year too.
I also have a film session of Brady Singer on my Youtube Channel. I posted tape of Singer versus Louisville.
The 6-3 205 lb Ryan Rolison went 9-0 with a 0.12 ERA as a senior in High School before being drafted by the Padres out of high school. Rolison decided to enroll at Ole Miss and went 6-3 with a 3.06 ERA in 2017 in ten starts. He enters his second season as a starter and now has an ERA over 4.00 which is why he dropped from a potential top 5 pick to now a borderline top 25 selection. Rolison will be 21 in July so he is draft eligible for the 2018 MLB Draft despite being a sophomore in College.
Rolison has a 94-mile per hour 4-seam fastball, a 91-mile per hour 2-seam fastball, an 82-mile per hour slider, an 81-mile per hour power curveball, a 75-mile per hour curveball, and a 75-mile per hour change up. He works from a 3/4 arm slot just like Casey Mize. Since he turns 21 he can leave Ole Miss after his sophomore season. Colorado drafts him strictly based on his upside.
Mason Denaburg beat Carter Stewart in head to head play plus he plays three sports and his character is off the charts in terms of leadership, attitude, and discipline. I got rankings for High School Batters and High School Pitcher prospects in my 2018 MLB Draft, player rankings. This is a huge steal at 27 I had this guy at 16.
Seth Beer is versatile enough to play left fielder, right fielder, third baseman, or first baseman. He dominated as a true freshman.
Beer had a .369 batting average, 57 runs, 18 home runs, 70 RBI's, and a .700 slugging percentage as a true freshman. Those numbers were simply unreal for a true freshman in 2016 which is why Seth Beer became the true freshman in College Baseball History to win the Dick Houser Award which is like the Heisman Trophy in College Baseball.
Previous Dick Howser Trophy Winners include David Price, Buster Posey, Stephen Strasburg, Anthony Rendon, Kris Bryant, and Andrew Benintendi. Brendan McKay won this award in 2017 after Beer failed to repeat as a sophomore. That's pretty good company to be in when you consider recent MLB success with Dick Howser Trophy Winners in the NCAA.
Beer had a .308 batting average, 51 runs, 17 home runs, 53 RBI's, and a .606 slugging percentage as a true sophomore in 2017. His numbers dropped, but he still has a career batting average of .333 and is a very consistent power hitter. Seth Beer is only batting .283 in 2018 with 16 home runs.
I also have a film session of Seth Beer on my Youtube Channel. Seth Beer may not have the stats you want, but he plays like a complete 5-tool batter on tape. Beer could provide Aaron Judge type value late in the first round if he fixes his batting average in the minors.