2016 MLB Draft Results
Round 1 Picks 1-23
Posted By: Chris Ransom Last Updated: June 9, 2016
Philadelphia Phillies: Mickey Moniak, CF, La Costa Canyon HS (CA) B+ Grade
- Mickey Moniak had a .463 batting average as a freshman before a sophomore slump with a .426 batting average and improved on that with a .488 batting average as a junior. Moniak has a .461 batting average so far in 2016 as a senior.
- Moniak had a .420 batting average or higher in all 4 seasons with the Phillies. That's why he's a great pick for the Phillies. He's not the best batter on the board, but you cannot fault this pick.
Cincinnati Reds: Nick Senzel, 3B, Tennessee A Grade
- Nick Senzel is arguably Tennessee's best infielder since Todd Helton and could be Tennessee's highest draft pick since Chris Burke in 2001. Like Helton, Senzel has the versatility to play third base, shortstop, second base, or first base. Senzel was a DH as a freshman before moving to second base as a sophomore and is expected to play third baseman in 2015.
- Senzel has the ability to hit home runs, line drives, grounders, or bunts. Senzel has above average speed and can develop into someone that steals bases.
- Senzel had a .315 batting average with 7 stolen bases as a freshman in 2014. In 2015, Senzel improved his batting average to .325 and doubled his stolen bases stealing 14 bases as a sophomore.
- Senzel led the Cape Cod Summer League in 2015 with a .558 slugging percentage, a .976 on base percentage, 86 total bases, 56 hits, 33 runs, 33 RBI's, 21 extra base hits, and 16 doubles. Those mind boggling statistics in the Cape Cod Showcase games helped Senzel earn MVP honors and winning the league's Top Prospect Award from scouts.
- Senzel now has a .352 batting average in 2016 as well as 8 home runs, 59 RBI's, and 25 stolen bases. Senzel has answered all of his question marks on tape and has checked out most of the boxes. When Florida faced Tennessee, Senzel did well on Friday and Saturday against Logan Shore on Friday and A.J. Puk on Saturday. He went 1/5 against sophomore Alex Faedo, who could be Florida's Friday Night starter in 2017.
- Cincinnati needed a replacement to Todd Frazier at third base. They found their guy in Nick Senzel.
Atlanta Braves: Ian Anderson, P, Shenendehowa HS (GA) John Rocker Grade
- Anderson went 8-0 with a 1.40 ERA as a sophomore in 2014. He improved on that as a junior going 6-1 with a 0.66 ERA in 2015. Anderson has the fastball, cutter fastball, slurveball, slider, curveball, and changeup to be a consistent pitcher on tape. Anderson has been dealing with injuries in 2016, but he's shown too much consistency on tape not to be a first round pick.
- That being said passing on him for Kyle Lewis from Mercer is downright insane. That's why the Atlanta Braves got a John Rocker grade.
Colorado Rockies: Riley Pint, P, St. Thomas Aquinas HS (KS) A Grade
- Riley Pint is a special high school pitcher. The 6-4 195 lb Pint went 3-2 with a 3.19 ERA as a freshman in 2013. A year later he went 8-0 with a 2.58 ERA as a sophomore in 2014. In 2015, he went 5-2 with a 2.20 ERA before winning the Gatorade High School Player of the year in baseball. Pint was the first player to win Gatorade High School Player of the year before his senior season which speaks volumes about him.
- Pint pitched his season opener yesterday and pitched 7 innings in a 12-0 victory over Blue Valley North on the road by pitching a complete game only allowing 1 hit. St. Thomas Aquinas hosts Blue Valley North in their home opener in 6 days, and it would not surprise me if Pint started again with 6 days to rest before the teams second game of the season. St. Thomas Aquinas is 16-1 this season with Pint going 10-1 in those starts with some scouts saying that Pint could surpass Groome to be the top pick now with all the momentum he's maintained.
- St. Thomas Aquinas is now 18-4 after starting the year 16-1. Pint is now 10-4 rather than being 10-1. His 2.01 ERA which was a career best has now skyrocketed up to 3.40 after 3 consecutive losses. Pint won 3 games since this point to finish 13-4 with a 2.97 ERA to wrap up the season. His 98 mile per hour fastball is now maxed out at 102 miles per hour after dominating in his last three starts..
- Pint also displays an 82 mile per hour knuckle curveball and an 85 mile per hour changeup that is 30 miles faster than the 55 mile per hour fastball by Alec Hansen. Unlike Hansen, Pint can get on base as a batter. Pint has a .325 batting average when stepping up to the plate which is phenomenal for a pitcher.
- Pint's knuckle curveball could develop into a slider. He lacks the upper body strength to be an effective starting pitcher at this point, but that will change as he develops over the next few years. His velocity and pitching accuracy needs to improve. He's inconsistent with his delivery and doesn't always throw the ball in the right locations. Still, despite this, Pint is the second best prospect in the 2016 MLB Draft.
- Pint improved his command and pitching accuracy this season. His velocity decreased in 2016 which is why his fastball has maxed out at 94 miles per hour in 2016 after posting a 98 mile per hour fastball in 2015. That's why Pint's draft stock is taking a slight hit. Pint should still be a top 10 or possibly a top 5 pick. He won't go in the top 2. Atlanta and Colorado are the earliest possible landing spots for Riley Pint.
Milwaukee Brewers: Corey Ray, CF, Louisville A Grade
- Ray had back-to-back seasons with a .325 batting average. After hitting only 1 home run and stealing only 4 bases as a true freshman, Ray hit 11 home runs and stole 34 bases.
- Ray finally has a batting average below .320 with a .319 batting average. Lewis has separated himself from Ray, but Ray should still be the second outfielder drafted. Ray has 15 home runs and 60 RBI's in 2016. Ray also has 44 stolen bases this season which explains why Louisville went 46-10 with a 33-1 record at home in 2016.
- Ray played right field at Louisville, but has the versatility to play left field, center field, or right field in the MLB. That versatility makes him the top bat in the 2016 MLB Draft outside of Kyle Lewis who has the same skill set.
- Corey Ray is a great value pick at 5. Kyle Lewis was the best player on the board and with him slipping out of the top 5 is a huge surprise.
- Oakland Athletics: A.J. Puk, P, Florida B+ Grade
- Oakland will overlook the character concerns with Puk even though he did get arrested for criminal trespassing last year. Puk is now the frontrunner to be drafted by the Philadelphia Phillies in the 2016 MLB Draft. Puk went 5-2 with a 3.19 ERA in 2014. Puk went 9-4 with a 3.81 ERA in 2015. So far in 15 starts in 2016, Puk is 2-3 with a 3.21 ERA and 10 consecutive no decisions in 2016 despite dealing with an injury this season.
- Miami Marlins: Braxton Garrett, P, Florence HS (AL) A- Grade
- Braxton Garrett is the best available player since he doesn't have questions that other pitchers have, plus I believe Garrett is severely underrated. Garrett has a 93 mile per hour 4-seam fastball, a 88 mile per hour 2-seam fastball, and a 87 mile per hour power curveball. There are pitchers with quality curveballs, but the one pitcher with a power curve that stands out on tape is Braxton Garrett.
- Despite having a fastball and a power curve, the rest of his pitches still need to be developed in the minor leagues. Garrett will develop those pitches in the minors.
- Braxton Garrett played in 13 games as a freshman with 12 starts and 1 save as a relief pitcher. He went 7-3, with a 1.81 ERA, and 2 no decisions. As a sophomore Garrett only started 11 games going 8-2, with a 1.23 ERA, and 1 no decision.
- Garrett had back-to-back seasons of 108 strikeouts as a freshman and a sophomore in 2013 and 2014. Garrett had Tommy John's Surgery as a junior which caused him to most of the season after a 7-1 start with a 0.70 ERA. As a senior Garrett is 5-2, but is posting a 0.56 ERA and 126 strikeouts while he continues to improve.
- The Miami Marlins get an A- grade with Braxton Garrett. This feels like a slight reach, but this is a great overall value pick which is why the Marlins got an A- Grade.
- San Diego Padres: Cal Quantrill, P, Stanford James Shields Grade
- Cal Quantrill was a huge reach at 8. Especially with two Tommy John's Surgery's. The Padres get a James Shields grade.
- Cal Quantrill is easily Stanford's best pitcher since Mark Appel. Quantrill went 7-5 with a 2.68 ERA in 17 starts pitching over 110 innings as a true freshman.
- Cal Quantrill went 2-0 with a 1.95 ERA in 3 starts as a sophomore in 2015. Quantrill dealt with Tommy John Surgery and that's the only reason why he's projected to go outside the top 20, yet the Padres reach for him at 8. Quantrill went 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA in 2016 during 3 starts and missed the rest of the season suffering season ending injuries in multiple years. Quantril has an exceptional ERA when healthy, but durability is a huge concern with him right now.
- Detroit Tigers: Matt Manning, P, Sheldon HS (CA) C Grade
- There were better players available. I am not surprised that the Tigers went with Matt Manning here. If Groome, Pint, and Puk were gone, Matt Manning was the obvious pick.
- The son of former NBA Big man Rich Manning is the top high school reliever in the 2016 MLB Draft. Rich was mainly a starter in the CBA and a backup in the NBA. It's uncertain how Matt Manning's career unfolds.
- Manning has elite velocity. Matt Manning can throw a 98 mile per hour 4-seam fastball and a 96 mile per hour 2-seam fastball. His sinker and can go up to 90 miles per hour. Manning has a cannon for an arm as well as outstanding command and control on his pitches. Matt Manning has the pitching accuracy that you look for in a starting pitcher despite being a relief pitcher at Sheldon High School. Manning may be a project for a starting pitcher, but he has starting pitcher potential if you develop him and like Tyler Jay in last years draft assuming you want Manning to come up through the minors quickly only to be a relief pitcher in the MLB.
- Worst case scenario Manning is a AAA starter or MLB backup. Best case scenario he becomes an All Star for years to come as Matt Manning has a 1.91 ERA as Sheldon's relief pitcher in 2016 in 40 and 2/3 innings. Manning's ERA was 2.51 a month ago so he's built a lot of momentum leading up to the 2016 MLB Draft.
- Chicago White Sox: Zack Collins, C, Miami FL A Grade
- I had Zack Collins going to the White Sox in my very first mock draft back in August. I changed the pick leading up to the Draft, but this is an excellent pick by the White Sox.
- Zack Collins of Miami FL and Chris Okey of Clemson were competing to be the top catcher in the 2016 MLB Draft. Collins batted .302 and his 15 home runs were superior to Okey's 12 in 2015. Collins also posted 70 RBI's as a sophomore. The 6-3 220 lb catcher posted a .298 batting average and 11 home runs as a freshman which tells you he's a pretty consistent and reliable home run hitter.
- Chris Okey has been terrible in 2016 after entering the preseason as a top 10 prospect late in 2015 while Collins has a .353 batting average, 12 home runs, and 52 RBI's in 2016. Collins dominated against Okey in the battle of the nations best ACC catcher. Collins also gave problems to Pittsburgh starting pitcher T.J. Zeuch.
- Seattle Mariners: Kyle Lewis, CF, Mercer A+ Grade
- Kyle Lewis was the best player in the entire MLB Draft. This is easily an A+ Grade.
- Outfielder Kyle Lewis of Mercer has the versatility to play left field, center field, and right field. He played left field at Mercer in 2015, but played center field in the Showcase circuit before moving to right field in 2016. Lewis projects to play at center field in the MLB.
- Lewis had a .367 batting average and 17 home runs in 2015. Kyle Lewis has a .395 batting average, 20 home runs, and 72 RBI's in 2016. His .731 slugging percentage is remarkable. Lewis is an excellent power hitter who can blast home runs or hit line drives. He's extremely versatile in the outfield and posts a 1.000 fielding percentage in 2016. He's not great at stealing bases, but he possesses complete 5 tool ability if he can improve in that area. Corey Ray may be more of a 5 tool bat, but Lewis has excellent fielding along with the better bat and that is what gives Lewis the edge over Ray.
- At this point the best player available is Kyle Lewis, the right fielder for Mercer. Lewis is the lead off bat on a 38-23 Mercer Bears team. Lewis falls to the Reds and this is such a huge steal.
- Boston Red Sox: Jason Groome, P, Barnegat HS (NJ) A+ Grade
- Right now at this point the top prospect is Barnegat pitcher Jason Groome. The 6-6 220 lb Groome displays a 95 mile per hour 4-seam fastball, a 93 mile per hour 2-seam fastball, a 92 mile per hour sinker, a 81 mile per hour curveball, a 79 mile per hour slider, a 72 mile per hour changeup, a 69 mile per hour circle changeup, and a 66 mile per hour knuckle curveball. Groome possesses great velocity incredible throwing accuracy on tape with his pitches.
- As a sophomore in 2014, Groome went 6-2 with a 0.57 ERA, and 107 strikeouts in 61 1/3 innings. As a junior in 2015, Groome went 5-0 with a 1.22 ERA, 81 strikeouts, and 9 walks in 43 innings at IMG Academy in Florida. Groome also went 5-0 with a 0.98 ERA 43 innings pitched, and 77 strikeouts for Barnegat HS. Groome may have beaten out Riley Pint to be the first junior pitcher to win Gatorade High School Pitcher of the Year before his senior season if he had more starts under his belt and played for Barnegat instead of IMG Academy.
- Groome had two wins where he pitched a perfect game in 7 innings for Barnegat and a no hitter in a win with 19 strikeouts in one game. He also had a loss in extra innings before giving up 7 runs in a game this weekend.
- Groome served a seven game suspension in 2016, but it's not his fault. The New Jersey State Interscholastic Athletic Association's transfer rules are so stupid that it's mind blowing. Since Groome played for IMG Academy last year the NJSIAA suspended Groome for seven games and he didn't do anything wrong. The butt hurt NJSIAA revoked his stats for Barnegat HS which is a shame if you ask me.
- Groome's 2016 stats may not count. If you count them he has a 2-2 record with a 2.16 ERA with 36 strikeouts in 5 starts in 2016 even if the butt hurt NJSIAA says otherwise.
- Jason Groome is a steal for Boston at 12. This is another A+ Grade.
- Tampa Bay Rays: Josh Lowe, 3B, Pope HS (GA) D+ Grade
- The Rays have Evan Longoria. They could have taken anyone else at 13 and probably gotten a B or an A grade.
- Cleveland Indians: William Benson, RF, The Westminster Schools HS (GA) F Grade
- There were better prospects available. William Benson was my first second round prospect and Blake Rutherford was still there.
- Minnesota Twins: Alex Kiriloff, RF, Plum HS (PA) B Grade
- Alex Kiriloff is a 6-2 200 lb power bat with a 3.7 GPA at Plum High School in Pennsylvania. He ran a 60 yard dash in 6.59 seconds which translates to a 4.33 40 time if you multiply 0.66 2/3 in decimals by his 6.59 60 yard dash. Kiriloff can play outfield or infield with his versatility, but with his cannon for an arm he's probably a better fit at outfield where Minnesota would draft him as a developmental corner outfielder. Kiriloff had a .500 batting average in 2015 and he's added more muscle in 2016.
- Los Angeles Angels Of Anaheim: Matt Thiass, C, Virginia F Grade
- The Angers took a catcher in last years draft. There were too many other talented players at this pick for the Angels. Matt Thiass had a .323 batting average and 10 home runs in 2015. He has a .375 batting average, 10 home runs, and 59 RBI's this year. Thiass has done enough to be considered the top catcher after Zack Collins and Chris Okey in the 2016 MLB Draft.
- Houston Astros: Forrest Whitley, P, Alamo Heights HS (TX) A- Grade
- The 6-7 250 lb pitcher went 7-0 with a 0.81 ERA and 67 strikeouts in 2015. Whitley may not have had eye popping statistics in 2016. You have to look past that though because he improved all of his pitches on tape and played with a ton of heart.
- Whitley has some good command and accuracy on his pitches. The velocity on his fastball improved from 94 miles per hour in 2015 to 97 miles per hour in 2016. Whitley's arm got a lot stronger as he developed a cutter fastball, a power curveball that goes up to 82 miles per hour, and a slider that can go up to 78 miles per hour. The most amazing thing is that Whitley is able to maintain his command and pitching accuracy with his arm strength and velocity growing at such a rapid rate.
- New York Yankees: Blake Rutherford, CF, Chaminade College Prepatory HS (CA) A+ Grade
- Rutherford is all muscle, but he should be up to 210 lbs by June's 2016 MLB Draft. Rutherford also stole 22 bases while posting a .435 batting average. Rutherford may have only posted 4 home runs in 2015, but he has the arm and fielding on defense to make up for it while possessing every other necessary skill to be a 4 tool or 5 tool player in the MLB.
- Blake Rutherford missed the first two games of the season, but made his debut yesterday against Flanagan in a neutral tournament game where he went 1/3 with a .333 batting average. Rutherford has improved that batting average to .577 down the stretch.
- Blake Rutherford is such a steal at 18. The Yankees getting Rutherford is almost as good of a value pick as the Mariners getting Kyle Lewis at 11.
- New York Mets: Justin Dunn, P, Boston College B Grade
- I had Justin Dunn going to the Mets in the second round. Dunn was building a lot of momentum you cannot blame the Mets for taking Dunn here.
- The Mets add another arm. Justin Dunn has a 95 mile per hour 4-seam fastball and a 92 mile per hour 2-seam fastball that are both MLB ready. His 3/4 curve is MLB ready. His power slider is MLB ready. He needs to work on his changeup and command, but possesses the velocity to progress through the minors real quickly. Dunn led Boston College with a 1.49 ERA in 2016.
- Los Angeles Dodgers: Gavin Lux, SS, Indian Trail HS (WI) F Grade
- The Dodgers have Corey Seager. They did not need a shortstop. Gavin Lux is an F grade prospect especially with Delvin Perez still on the board.
- Toronto Blue Jays: T.J. Zeuch, P, Pittsburgh A+ Grade
- The Blue Jays take the best player available. The 6-7 232 lb Zeuch has a 96 mile per hour 2-seam fastball with a 81 mile per hour 12-6 curveball, and a 88 mile per hour slider in 2015. We interviewed T.J. Zeuch on Tuesday and he has the ability to be a top 25 prospect.
- Two people I know have Zeuch going in the top 20 of their mocks to the Angels at 16 and the Astros at 17. I think mocking him to the Astros makes a ton of sense if all of the high school pitchers are off the board.
- Toronto is loaded with starting pitchers. They are the one team that can patiently wait for Zeuch to blossom. This was the best place that T.J. Zeuch could have landed which is why the Blue Jays got an A+ Grade.
- Pittsburgh Pirates: Will Craig, 3B, Wake Forest C Grade
- The Pirates are drafting a natural third baseman as a pitcher. Will Craig is batting .379 with 16 home runs and 66 RBI's in 2016. Craig hit more home runs and RBI's down the stretch, but his batting average decreased. Craig is a great lead off bat who is beginning to creep up boards. With Craig you have to rely on his home runs and line drives because he's not a base stealer. Overall this is a B grade if the Pirates draft him as a bat and a D grade if they are drafting him as a pitcher which is why the Pirates got a C grade.
- St. Louis Cardinals: Delvin Perez, SS, Puerto Rico A+ Grade
- Delvin Perez is a top 10 prospect. He failed a drug test and is expected to fall out of the top 10.
- Perez has complete 5-tool ability just like Carlos Correa. Perez going to St. Louis is a huge steal.
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