Miami gets a quarterback with this pick if Ryan Fitzpatrick beats out Josh Rosen for the starting job. Assuming the Dolphins finish this poorly it's safe to say that Rosen will be labeled a bust if he screws up with another bad offensive line.
If Rosen does well, and Miami still ends up picking here then other options could include Georgia offensive tackle Andrew Thomas as a blindside to Rosen or Alabama wide receiver Jerry Jeudy to build around Rosen. For now, I'm mocking Tua to Miami first overall. Even LSU strong safety grant Delpit becomes a possible replacement to Minkah Fitzpatrick with Minkah getting dealt.
The 6-1 218 lb signal-caller had 3,966 passing yards, 43 passing touchdowns, 6 interceptions, and a 69% completion percentage in 2018. Tua has two number one targets to throw to, but lost two running backs, his best tight end, and three offensive linemen to the 2019 NFL Draft after being the Heisman Runner Up to last years top draft pick Kyler Murray. Tua demonstrated the throwing power and throwing accuracy versus Duke cornerback Mark Gilbert who had NFL talent.
Tua showed the ability to make up to six progressions on tape last year during the regular season. Tua had multiple receivers, multiple running backs, and Irv Smith Jr. at tight end which enabled him to make multiple progressions. Against Clemson, he only made two progressions due to a stout defensive line. Tua fixed his accuracy concerns and looks like the top pick in the 2020 NFL Draft.
Even though Tua is the top prospect in the 2020 NFL Draft, he's not a sure fire first overall selection. He has to show he can improve on last season, otherwise someone will surpass him. Tua hasn't done anything to show why he's not worthy of this pick.
He's outplayed Trevor Lawrence so far in 2019. With Ryan Fitzpatrick under contract until 2021 and Josh Rosen under contract until 2023, Miami will be fielding offers for this selection, but it will most likely be to see if anyone is willing to give away 2021 picks to get Lawrence.
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Cincinnati could go with a quarterback to replace Andy Dalton or a receiver to replace A.J. Green. Green had an injury with his right leg in 2018 that caused him to miss the remainder of last season and this year its his left ankle. You have to wonder if age is starting to catch up to Green so if Cincinnati wanted to get Alabama wide receiver Jerry Jeudy and keep Dalton here they could do that as well. Getting Georgia left tackle Andrew Thomas so you can move Jonah Williams to right tackle while kicking offensive tackles Cordy Glenn and Bobby Hart inside to guard while Billy Price remains at center completes this offensive line for both quarterback Andy Dalton and running back Joe Mixon.
Georgia quarterback Jake Fromm has the leadership and attitude you want in a quarterback. He's the oldest sibling in his family. He has good decision making and accuracy. Fromm never threw for more than 3,000 passing yards at Georgia despite being a five star recruit in High School.
The 6-2 220 lb Fromm has the leadership, attitude, short accuracy, and medium accuracy that you want. His deep ball accuracy needs work. Fromm is talented, but he is 0-2 versus Tua so Tua deserves to be ranked ahead of Fromm at this point in the draft process. Fromm has a big game versus Notre Dame in Athens this week which will tell us more about Georgia's football team and his draft stock.
The 6-5 320 lb Andrew Thomas was Geogia's right tackle next to Isaiah Wynn as a freshman. Thomas has the pass blocking strength, pass blocking footwork, run blocking strength, and run blocking footwork to be a right tackle. He can maintain blocks for 5-7 seconds at right tackle. He only maintained blocks for 3-5 seconds in pass protection at left tackle after Isaiah Wynn left. Thomas is can maintain blocks for 5-7 seconds. Thomas opened up lanes for Nick Chubb and D'Andre Swift at both offensive tackle spots. He did good, but not great in pass protection for Jake Fromm. Thomas struggled versus Kentucky pass rusher Josh Allen in 2018 only maintaining blocks for 1-3 seconds as a temporary blocker versus Allen.
Trent Williams wants out of Washington. Dwayne Haskins struggled versus a second team defense in his preseason debut. Haskins could be great, but he needs to develop for a year like Patrick Mahomes did with the Chiefs.
Starting Haskins right away without a quality blindside would be fatal and could increase the chances that Haskins busts. Washington uses this pick on Georgia left tackle Andrew Thomas. Coincidentally, Washington also drafted Trent Williams fourth overall in 2010 out of Oklahoma.
Thomas may be a downgrade from Williams as far as talent goes. At the same time Williams wants out and Ereck Flowers is projected to be the blindside if Williams does not take a snap. Flowers has no business at left tackle so Washington grabs Thomas at 4 here.
New York drafted Saquon Barkley in 2018 and has their successor to Eli Manning in Daniel Jones. This team needs a number one receiver and Alabama wide receiver Jerry Jeudy is that guy. The 6-1 193 lb Jerry Jeudy has Calvin Ridley's foot speed, Amari Cooper's route running, and the blocking of Julio Jones packed into one super receiver despite his size. He may be faster than all three receivers too with his speed and ability to stretch the field deep. He also knows how to run short, medium, or deep routes and use his agility to create separation when running a deep route with his speed.
Jeudy was mainly used in the slot at times last year. He was used on the outside versus Clemson too where he did not drop a single ball versus Clemson's defense. There were plays where Jeudy was wide open where Tua did not make the easy play.
Calvin Ridley had great foot speed, but his route tree was limited to about 15 routes. I'd argue Jeudy can run 18 of the 30 routes you need a receiver to run in the NFL. He does a better job creating separation than any Alabama receiver I've seen under Nick Saban. Jeudy had 68 receptions, 1,315 receiving yards, and 14 receiving touchdowns in 2018. If he improves on that in 2019, then he could easily cement himself as a top 5 pick in the 2020 NFL Draft.
Jeudy may not go first overall due to the fact that he's a wide receiver in a quarteback driven league. However, I'd argue he's the safest prospect to draft among any player in the top 5 of the 2020 NFL Draft at this preliminary stage in the draft process heading into the 2019 College Football Season. I would not fault a team like the Cincinnati Bengals if they passed on a quarterback for Jeudy at 3. That's how high I am on Alabama's wide receiver.
Andrew Thomas is the only offensive tackle in this draft with the upside to be elite if he can fix his flaws on tape. This is a weak offensive tackle class and Carolina needs offensive line help in the worst way possible.
Herbert has the arm strength and poise you look for in a quarterback. Herbert could only read up to five progressions last season, but with another year of development, Herbert may get up to six progressions.
Herbert only started six games as a freshman. He had an injury in 2017. He was healthy in 2018 when he threw for 3,151 passing yards, 29 passing touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. Herbert has the composure you look for in an NFL quarterback, but his accuracy needs to improve since he only had a 59.7 completion percentage in 2018 following his injury in 2017 when he had a 67.5 completion percentage prior to his season ending injury. Herbert holds onto the ball too long at times and his accuracy is a correctable trait if he can fix his mechanics.
I posted a film cut of Justin Herbert VS Auburn. Herbert did good in this game despite having four injured wide receivers. Most people who observed the game are giving Herbert crap for not winning or not having 300 passing yards, but a lot of his issues from bad throws either stem from missed assignments from the offensive line or just bad decisions that Herbert made throughout the game.
The 6-3 203 lb Grant Delpit is LSU's strong safety. He dominates in man coverage, zone coverage, and press coverage just like his predecessor Jamal Adams. Since Jamal Adams is demanding a trade, in this scenario New York can trade Jamal Adams without giving him a fifth year tender by reloading at safety. This keeps the Jets from contending for another season if they go this route, but it allows them to maintain a high amount of cap space to take over this division when Tom Brady retires.
Delpit is the only complete defender I've seen on tape so far that checks out all of the boxes. Delpit had 46 solo tackles, 28 assisted tackles, 74 total tackles, 9.5 tackles for a loss, 9 deflections from pass breakups, 5 sacks, 5 interceptions, and 4 quarterback hurries in 2018.
The Jacksonville Jaguars spent big on Nick Foles. Jacksonville gets their replacement to Jalen Ramsey at 7 by taking a cornerback who checks all of the boxes on tape with Virginia cornerback Bryce Hall.
The 6-1 200 lb Bryce Hall has the speed, ability to stop the run, man coverage, zone coverage, and press coverage on tape. He's a complete defender on tape. I'd argue he's the safest defensive prospect to draft after LSU safety Grant Delpit.
Bryce Hall has the speed, ability to stop the run, man coverage, zone coverage, and press coverage on tape. He's a complete defender on tape. I'd argue he's the safest defensive prospect to draft after LSU safety Grant Delpit. Bryce Hall had a mind boggling 22 deflections from pass breakups in 2018.
Bryce Hall does not have the athleticism or tackling that Jalen Ramsey had coming out of Florida State. He's more of a pure cornerback than a cornerback/safety like Ramsey. Outside of Darrelle Revis, DeAngelo Hall, and Jalen Ramsey, I'd argue he's the best ACC cornerback to enter the NFL since 2000 which is certainly high praise for Bryce Hall.
The 6-2 220 lb Laviska Shenault Jr. was once a candidate to be a finalist for the Heisman Trophy. Miami grabs him.
Laviska Shenault Jr. is an elite route runner who has all 30 routes down. He runs with elite speed, but lacks the explosiveness and elite first step from a receiver that you want. While his blocking is effective, it's also inconsistent and needs refinement. Shenault Jr. needs to correct this in 2019.
Laviska Shenault Jr. had 86 receptions, 1,011 receiving yards, and 6 receiving touchdowns in 2018. Shenault Jr. got blanketed versus Nebraska in 2019 after a strong game in Lincoln, in 2018. Shenault Jr. rediscovered his ability to get by defenders on tape with a strong performance versus Air Force.
Miami drafts a number one target for Tua with this pick. They can also release Albert Wilson to save $9.5-million This allows them to keep 2015 first round pick DeVante Parker as a complimentary target on a reduced salary with Mike Gesicki at tight end and Kenyan Drake at running back giving Tua some weapons which will allow Tua to make things happen with his arm or leg.
Clemson receiver Tee Higgins had 59 receptions, 936 receiving yards, and 12 receiving touchdowns in 2018. The 6-4 205 lb Higgins has the speed and hands to be a number one target for Joe Flacco in Denver. Higgins has still averaged 70 receiving yards per game in every contest so far in 2019. He's not the route runner than Shenault Jr. is, but I'd argue he's got more game speed and can be a more effective deep threat with his athleticism.
The 6-5 265 lb Chase Young does not have the strength or block shedding that either Joey or Nick Bosa displayed. He's not as effective in coverage either. Despite this Chase Young has more athleticism and can get to the quarterback with or without placing his hand in the dirt. Both of the Bosa Brothers needed to put their hand in the dirt in order to maximize their success off the edge. This is not the case with Chase Young who already has 5 sacks so far in 2019.
Chase Young has the athleticism and explosiveness off the edge. The former 5-star recruit had 14.5 tackles for a loss and 9.5 sacks in 2018 when filling in for an injured Nick Bosa. Young stood out and is now the player commanding double teams with Bosa in San Francisco.
Both Terrell Suggs and Brooks Reid are under contract. If both pass rushers do awful in Arizona a new edge will be needed. Chase Young is the top edge rusher in the 2020 NFL Draft at this time.
Tennessee needs a right guard to complete this offensive line in the worst way possible. The 6-6 310 lb Alex Leatherwood did well at both left tackle and left guard versus Duke. Leatherwood projects better at guard and played right guard in 2018.
Leatherwood is a lingering blocker who can maintain a block for 3-5 seconds when lined up at offensive tackle. However he's a constant blocker who can maintain a block for 5-7 seconds when he lines up at guard. Leatherwood gives Tennessee a right guard who can help right now at 11.
Jonathan Taylor may lack the foot speed, pass blocking, or pass catching. Despite this, Taylor does have the best production of any running back in the 2020 NFL Draft which is why he's being mocked so high.
Jonathan Taylor showed me that his foot speed, elusiveness, vision, pass blocking, and pass catching all improved by leaps and bounds versus South Florida. Combine this with Taylor's production, and he's now the top running back in the 2020 NFL Draft on my big board.
Jonathan Taylor had 299 carries, 1,997 rushing yards, and 13 rushing touchdowns in 2017. Taylor had 307 carries, 2,194 rushing yards, and 16 rushing touchdowns in 2018. Taylor has the production of a top 5 pick when it comes to running the football.
Oakland needs a tight end. Albert Okwuegbunam is the best tight end in the 2020 NFL Draft.
The 6-5 255 Albert Okwuegbunam has the pass blocking, run blocking, catching, speed, and route running you look for in a tight end. He's not as talented as the Iowa tight ends, but he's better than Irv Smith Jr. He's the one tight end in this class who could become a Pro Bowl caliber tight end down the road.
Albert Okwuegbunam had 29 receptions, 415 receiving yards, and 11 receiving touchdowns as a freshman redshirt in 2017. Albert Okwuegbunam had 43 receptions, 466 receiving yards, and 6 receiving touchdowns in 2018.
Oakland has a lot of weapons at wide receiver for Derek Carr. They do not have a tight end and that's one area this offense needs to improve in.
The 6-2 191 lb CeeDee Lamb had 65 receptions, 1,158 receiving yards, and 11 receiving touchdowns in 2018. CeeDee Lamb can be the number one target allowing Oakland to finally get a long-term number one target for Derek Carr.
Minnesota grabs a defensive tackle at 15. The 6-6 310 lb Javon Kinlaw is the top pass rushing defensive tackle in this years draft just based on tape and athleticism alone. Minnesota like Atlanta was a team that ignored defensive tackle and now have a dire need at this position.
Both Justin Houston and Jabaal Sheard will be 31-years-old before the start of 2020. A.J. Epenesa may not be off to the fantastic start fans were hoping for. He's talented enough to be used as a swing edge rusher and can come in right away and start next season in the event that Houston or Sheard gets injured.
The 6-3 266 lb A.J. Epenesa is a sack artist who had 16.5 tackles for a loss and 10.5 sacks. His speed and burst needs to improve. Epenesa has the proudction you want a 4-3 defensive end to have and can line up on both sides like Chase Young.