Miami gets a quarterback with this pick if Ryan Fitzpatrick beats out Josh Rosen for the starting job. Assuming the Dolphins finish this poorly it's safe to say that Rosen will be labeled a bust if he screws up with another bad offensive line.
The 6-1 218 lb signal-caller had 3,966 passing yards, 43 passing touchdowns, and 6 interceptions in 2018. Tua has two number one targets to throw to, but lost two running backs, his best tight end, and three offensive linemen to the 2019 NFL Draft after being the Heisman Runner Up to last years top draft pick Kyler Murray. How Tua handles this adversity in 2019 after choking versus Clemson in the College Football Playoff Championship Game will go a long way in determing his future as an NFL quarterback.
I'm honestly torn on what Arizona will do. This feels a lot like the movie draft day. Nick Bosa is the best player in the draft, but at the end of the day, if Kyler Murray is first on Arizona's draft board he's going to be the first pick in the 2019 NFL Draft even if I have Dwayne Haskins, Drew Lock, and Daniel Jones all graded ahead of Kyler Murray.
Apparently, size does not matter in 2019. The 5-7 145 lb Frankie Amaya was the first pick in the 2019 MLS Super Draft. F.C. Cincinnati's front-office told us that Amaya was the top player on their board. If Kingsbury is hell bent on having a quarterback who is the best scheme fit for Arizona then Kyler Murray will be the first pick.
At the same time, Steve Keim could be pulling our leg like Kevin Costner in draft day. Nick Bosa is better for a 4-3 defense then a 3-4 defense which Arizona is switching to. Also, Kyler Murray is a better fit for the new spread offense kingsbury wants to run which is why I'll say Arizona drafts the 5-10 207 lb Heisman Winner who got drafted by the Oakland Athletics in the 2018 MLB Draft, first overall.
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Mark Sciubba, and I both have seven round mock drafts updated. I also have a top 250 big board pre-combine from my 2019 NFL Draft Game. I've got three quarterbacks graded ahead of Murray, but Arizona is open to having Rosen and Murray on their roster next season.
Kyler Murray avoided a turnover versus Alabama. That's impressive considering how lackluster his brilliant offensive line was during the 2019 College Football Playoff. I will reveal my Kyler Murray grade when we go live at Super Foods in Jacksonville.
Nick Bosa is better then Joey Bosa was since Nick plays 4-3 right end and 4-3 left end unlike Joey who was a 4-3 left end at Ohio State before making the transition to the NFL. Nick Bosa is 4-3 dependant despite being the best overall player in the draft.
The 6-4 266 lb Nick Bosa had 16 tackles for a loss and 8.5 sacks in 2017. Bosa only had 6 tackles for a loss and 4 sacks before a season ending injury versus TCU. His rip and swim moves are more polished then Joey Bosa's when you compare his tape to his older brothers. He didn't pad the same stats Bosa did.
Nick Bosa and Dee Ford could be a lethal tandem off the edge. You also got Solomon Thomas for depth so the San Francisco 49ers are the team that I'm expecting to make the biggest leap regardless of what they do with the second pick because I believe both Nick Bosa and Quinnen Williams would both thrive on their 4-3 defense.
Mark and I agreed on seven picks in the first round and we usually go at it like Skip and Shannon on Undisputed when it comes to debating draft picks. We also agreed on four more picks one each in rounds 2-5. Mark Jarvis posted Nick Bosa tape on his Youtube Channel versus Oregon State. Check out his channel and subscribe for more awesome content.
New York can either go with Josh Allen who would be a better scheme fit at 3 or Quinnen Williams, who is the best overall player if Kyler Murray goes first overall. I think the man known as Quinnen Williams could beat out nose tackle Steve McClendon in a 3-4 defense that may become a hybrid defense in due time operated by defensive coordinator Gregg Williams. Williams had 45 solo tackles, 26 assisted tackles, 71 total tackles, 19.5 tackles for a loss, and 8 sacks.
Waldo Roren did a film cut of Quinnen Williams. He did well versus Texas A & M. If the Jets draft Williams, we can see Williams and Williams go Gumbel and Gumbel on the GOAT known as Tom Brady.
We have a trade to announce. Oakland has traded this pick and their other two picks for Bills quarterback Josh Allen so now Buffalo has four first rounders. Psych, that's for all the draft fans who think its cool to joke about replacing Derek Carr because its not cool to joke about that when your franchise is about to get relocated to Las Vegas. Also, Oakland is keeping this pick and taking Josh Allen from Kentucky to fill the void that Khalil Mack left, which is what doomed Oakland from the start of the 2018-2019 NFL Season.
The 6-5 262 lb Josh Allen had 56 solo tackles, 32 assisted tackles, 88 total tackles, 21.5 tackles for a loss, and 17.5 sacks. Josh Allen gives Oakland a replacement to Mack.
Making Josh Allen the blue chip pass rusher and face of the defense gives the Raiders a face for their defense. Whether he does as well as Mack did remains to be seen as some will argue he's a poor mans Khalil Mack for the Silver and Black.
@DeludedYinzer also known as Tyler on Draft Twitter posted tape of Kentucky pass rusher Josh Allen. He has a ton of film cuts of Josh Allen on his channel so check them all out.
Tampa Bay needs a 3-4 middle linebacker. Devin White dominated the 2019 NFL Combine with a 4.42 40-time and 22-reps on the bench press outperforming both Roquan Smith and Tremaine Edmunds who I had 98 and 97 potential grades on at last years NFL Combine.
The 6-1 240 lb Devin White can rush the quarterback, stop the run, or drop back into coverage at a Pro Bowl level. White had 37 solo tackles, 96 assisted tackles, 133 total tackles, 14 tackles for a loss, 5 quarterback hurries, 4.5 sacks, and 3 deflections from pass breakups in 2017. White had 62 solo tackles, 61 assisted tackles, 123 total tackles, 12 tackles for a loss, 8 quarterback hurries, and 6 deflections from pass breakups in 2018.
Devin White is still my top middle linebacker. White missed some tackles against Georgia running back DeAndre Swift. While White is clearly a blue chip middle linebacker and I'm going to look past his bad game versus Swift because he's a good scheme fit for Tampa Bay who is switching to a 3-4 defense.
New York gets a successor for Eli Manning at 6. The 6-3 220 lb sophomore redshirt Dwayne Haskins had a monster year in his first season as a starting quarterback at Ohio State with 4,831 passing yards, 50 passing touchdowns, 4 rushing touchdowns, 54 total touchdowns, 8 interceptions, and a 70 completion percentage. Haskins dominated down the stretch and established himself as the top quarterback in the 2019 NFL Draft.
Dwayne Haskins is the top quarterback in this draft in my honest opinion despite the hype Murray is generating. Here is a signature game of his tape versus Michigan. Also I think the rumors about the Giants not taking a quarterback like Haskins at 6 are just a feeble attempt by Dave Gettleman to conceal his fact or crap draft card.
The Jacksonville Jaguars spent big on Nick Foles. Then Jacksonville can get Nick Foles protection by getting him Cam Robinson's former teammate at Alabama, Jonah Williams as a bookend right tackle.
Jonah Williams is a 6-5 301 lb offensive tackle with a year of experience at right tackle and a year of experience at left tackle. Williams looked nearly flawless versus Louisville showing the ability to maintain blocks for 5-7 seconds. I didn't see him do that in this film session versus Clemson last year and he looked worse versus Ferrell this time around which is why the top offensive tackle in this years draft drops to 7. If it makes Williams feel better, Ferrell did not work out at the 2019 NFL Combine or Clemson's Pro Day which is why Williams now has a higher grade then Ferrell.
Detroit needs a cornerback next to Darius Slay. Greedy Williams may be the best cornerback to enter the draft since Darrelle Revis. He is a way better prospect then Denzel Ward who went in the top 4 of the 2018 NFL Draft despite how Mr. Move The Sticks Feels because I see a complete corner that does all on tape.
Also, Jusitn Coleman is a nickel corner at best despite his lengthy contract that he agreed to with the Lions. Greedy Williams ran a 4.37-40-time at the 2019 NFL Combine and then topped that with a 4.36-40-time at LSU's Pro Day.
The 6-2 182 lb Greedy Williams had 26 solo tackles, 12 assisted tackles, 38 total tackles, 11 deflections from pass breakups, and 6 interceptions in 2017. He had a strong season as a freshman redshirt. Williams had 23 solo tackles, 10 assisted tackles, 9 deflections form pass breakups, and 2 interceptions in 2018. Williams only allowed one touchdown all season versus Alabama. Greedy was that stout in man, zone, and press coverage.
Greedy Williams looked great versus Miami FL and Georgia in 2018. Quintin Lash posted tape of Greedy Williams versus Georgia. Go ahead and check out this film session and give Quintin a follow.
The New York Jets got the top Free Agent Le'Veon Bell to give the top quarterback in the 2018 NFL Draft a running game. Now Buffalo will respond by giving Josh Allen a true number one target who may be raw, but has the upside to be Allen's top target as Allen comes closer to reaching his ceiling.
Mark Sciubba was right about Metcalf so I'm rewarding his Bills with the top receiver in the draft despite some solid Free Agency additions like Cole Beasley, John Brown, and Andre Roberts. Allen has some speedy slot receivers, but D.K. Metcalf will end up being Allen's long-term number one target despite how raw he appears to be.
The Denver Broncos have Joe Flacco. They also got rid of Case Keenum which tells me they are looking at a quarterback like Drew Lock at 10 who continues to ace the draft process.
My gut told me they'd get Joe Flacco, and my gut was right so now they got Flacco and Keenum. They could trade Keenum and draft Lock. Denver could also keep both quarterbacks and sit Lock out in 2019. Finally, Denver could also keep both quarterbacks and not draft a quarterback at 10 and instead decide to wait until 2020 for a quarterback in a much stronger draft class. For now, I'm keeping Lock in at 10 unless keeps both quarterbacks and Lock somehow screws up part of the draft process leading up to April's draft.
Drew Lock had 3,339 passing yard, 23 passing touchdowns, and 10 interceptions in 2016. Lock improved on that with 3,964 passing yards, 44 passing touchdowns, and 13 interceptions in 2017. Drew Lock is the most durable quarterback in this class and makes a lot of sense for Miami at 4. Lock had 289 passing yards, 4 passing touchdowns, and no interceptions in Missouri's opener for 2018. Drew Lock finished the year with 3,498 passing yards, 28 passing touchdowns, and 8 interceptions.
Brett Rypien is the only quarterback that can read up to six progressions and he has a noodle for an arm unlike Lock who knows how to fire it deep. The 6-3 223 lb Drew Lock does have good footwork for a quarterback. I did a film session on Drew Lock a while ago. You can check it out. It's pretty lengthy with two games and around 35 minutes long. It's also got a SWOT report and SEA report on Lock.
Cincinnati retained most of their starters. I was torn on Devin Bush and Dalton Risner. With Burfict getting released, and Devin Bush dominating both the 2019 NFL Combine as well as Michigan's Pro Day, he wins the tiebreaker over Risner.
The 5-11 237 lb Devin Bush had 39 solo tackles, 63 assisted tackles, 102 total tackles, and 9.5 tackles for a loss as a sophomore. Devin Bush only had 38 solo tackles, 41 assisted tackles, 79 total tackles, 9 tackles for a loss, 6 deflections from pass breakups, and 5 sacks in 2018 despite dealing with injuries. One of my friends called Devin Bush the best Michigan prospect they have seen in the last ten years, and Chris Robbins looks incredibly credible for stating this since Bush added 15 lbs of muscle prior to the 2019 NFL Combine while running a 4.43 40-time and doing 21-reps on the bench press. Bush also dominated his Pro Day.
The 6-6 252 lb Montez Sweat had 15.5 tackles for a loss and 10.5 sacks in 2017. Montez Sweat had 14 tackles for a loss, 11.5 sacks, and 7 quarterback hurries in 2018. He seems like an ideal replacement for Clay Matthews if the Packers do not re-sign Matthews. Sweat could end up rising up boards and go a lot higher then this. Sweat ran a 4.41 40-time at the 2019 NFL Combine so he may end up getting drafted in the top 10 overall.
Dalton Risner looked good versus Montez Sweat. Sweat is still a top 12 pick in my opinion though.
Atlanta gets a steal at 14. Ed Oliver is an absolute steal at 14. There is no reason for Atlanta to pass on him here.
The 6-2 287 lb Oliver had 47 solo tackles, 19 assisted tackles, 66 total tackles, 22.5 tackles for a loss, 9 deflections from pass breakups, 7 quarterback hurries, and 5 sacks as a true freshman in 2016. Oliver even frustrated Orlando Brown one of our 2018 first round prospects in his first career start. Oliver had 16.5 tackles for a loss and 5.5 sacks in 2017. Oliver had 29 solo tackles, 25 assisted tackles, 54 total tackles, 14.5 tackles for a loss, and 3 sacks in 2018. Oliver dominated Houston's Pro Day despite missing the 2019 NFL Combine.
Voch Lombardi did a preview on Houston defensive tackle Ed Oliver. Check it out by watching the video in the paragraph below. You can also join his Facebook group Lombardi's Draft Talk you can converse with myself, members of the Draft Utopia podcast, other hardcore NFL fans, and Voch Lombardi himself.
Alex Smith will miss all of the 2019 NFL Season so Washington drafts a rookie hoping he will do well right away. So while Smith recovers Case Keenum and Daniel Jones will compete to be the starting quarterback in the Nations Capital. The 6-5 220 lb Daniel Jones only had 2,674 passing yards, 22 passing touchdowns, and 9 interceptions. Jones played under David Cutcliffe who coached both of Archie Manning's kids Peyton and Eli Manning.
Scouts have told us they like Daniel Jones arm strength. They also believe he's more familiar with a Pro Style offense then someone like Will Grier out of West Virginia. Daniel Jones had a strong week in Mobile and showed the ability to read up to five progressions in Mobile.
This draft does not have a blue chip quarterback. Dwayne Haskins is my top graded quarterback with a 93 potential grade which is what I gave both Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson last year. I got a 90 potential grade on Drew Lock and a 90 grade on Daniel Jones. Like Drew Lock, Jones was consistent throughout the week in Mobile.
Caddy To The Lamma did a good film session on Daniel Jones. Go follow him for awesome film content. Here is a film cut of Daniel Jones in Duke's Bowl win versus Temple.
Carolina has done nothing in Free Agency to shore up their offensive line. Upgrades at both offensive tackle spots, center, as well as left guard now that Andrew Norwell is gone are needed. Carolina gets Andre Dillard who gets to be Newton's blindside right away despite going to a team with the worst offensive line situation.
The 6-4 310 lb Andre Dillard had a strong week in Mobile. He did well versus Jaylon Ferguson. Cam Newton should be stoked that this studmuffin named Andre The Giant is his new blindside in Carolina.
Here is tape of Andre Dillard versus Wyoming. This is the only film cut of Dillard at the moment. I may try to find a different game where Dillard faced someone more challenging then Carl Granderson.