I love the Matt Nagy hire. The thing is I had a second round grade on Mitchell Trubisky and I just will not get over the idea of Chicago needing to upgrade from him or to upgrade the offensive line. The defense is good though and Jordan Howard can take pressure off Trubisky so there is a 90 percent chance I'm wrong about the Bears picking at 1. For this early 2019 NFL Mock Draft in July, I got the Bears at 1.
Chicago could get Nick Foles in Free Agency if he opts out of his deal with the Eagles considering Matt Nagy coached him in Kansas City. Also, Chicago could get Tyrod Taylor if he does well in Cleveland or potentially even Joe Flacco. Obtaining one of those players in Free Agency to compete with Trubisky and get the best player on your board is far more lucrative then a new regime coming in and taking a quarterback at 1.
If Trubisky takes any leaps in year two under Matt Nagy then the Bears won't pick here. For now, I'm putting Chicago here only due to the fact that Trubisky has a lot to prove along with the fact that Charles Leno Jr. and Bobbie Massie is an awful offensive tackle tandem.
Most would say Nick Bosa or Ed Oliver are the best options. Chicago runs a 3-4 defense though. Nose tackle Eddie Goldman is in a contract year.
The 6-5 340 lb Dex Lawrence had 9 tackles for a loss and 6.5 sacks as a true freshman. He commanded more double teams as a sophomore though and only had 3 tackles for a loss and 2.5 sacks. Lawrence has the size to be the top pick for Chicago. He needs to put together a huge season with both double digit tackles for a loss and double digit sacks if he wants to surpass Bosa or Oliver as the top overall prospect. Right now in July, I believe he's the best fit for Chicago if they hold the top pick. That's what I'm solely basing this mock on at the moment.
@thalhoferjoao also known as Lil John on Draft Twitter who edits On The Clock posted tape of Dex Lawrence versus Louisville. Here is a sample size of what Lawrence does on tape. Most believe he's not worthy of the top pick at the moment even though he fits Chicago well.
Add me @DraftUtopia if you upload film and would like to join our film team. You should also add WhatsOnDraftNFL who is helping me run our Draft Twitter Film group while making a 2019 NFL Draft Database.
One more thing before I get to the second overall pick. Josiah Ray, Mark Sciubba, and Tony Mario posted their 2019 NFL Mocks on Draft Utopia so if you hated this writeup for Chicago at 1 feel free to click on one of these mocks.
Josh Allen was a reach, but the only way to ensure his success is to fix this abomination of an offensive line that somehow traded Cordy Glenn, cut Ritchie Incognito, and let center Eric Wood retire due to injuries. I like Dawkins as a right tackle and while he proved himself as a left tackle a lot of his success as a rookie was due to Tyrod Taylor having a huge year. Dawkins will not have the same success with quarterbacks like A.J. McCarron, Nate Peterman, and Josh Allen.
The 6-7 332 lb Trey Adams is the top left tackle in the 2019 NFL Draft. He's a natural left tackle who gives Allen a premium blindside he can depend on.
@WestCoastScout AKA Caddy To the Lama. One of the members of our DraftTwitter Film Group posted Trey Adams tape versus Fresno State in 2017. Feel free to check it out and post your thoughts on Adams in the comments section below.
New York has a good left tackle in Kelvin Beachum, but Brandon Shell has no business at right tackle. Plus, you can move Beachum to RT and make Jonah Williams the new blindside for Sam Darnold. The Jets also lose six wide receivers, two tight ends, and two running backs to Free Agency. So they may go for the best offensive player on their board rather then draft for need by shoring up the offensive line to give Darnold more time in the pocket.
The 6-5 301 lb Jonah Williams played right tackle next to Cam Robinson as a true freshman. He moved to left tackle as a sophomore and did well there. He's more versatile then Trey Adams despite not having as high of a ceiling as Adams. There is a lot to like with Williams though, and the New York Jets can justify drafting him third overall.
@AJIndDraft AKA Cut Up Corner who has over 2.5k subscribers on Youtube. One of the members of our DraftTwitter Film Group posted Jonah Williams tape versus Clemson in 2017. Feel free to check it out and post your thoughts on Williams in the comments section below. You can also go to Ourlads that's the site that hired Cut Up Corner so I figured it's only fair to give them a quick shoutout as well.
The Miami Dolphins will need a face of the franchise if they pick in the top 5. Missouri quarterback Drew Lock is 6-4 225 lbs. He's an upgrade over Brock Osweiler and Bryce Petty. He's got more upside then Ryan Tannehill. Whether he brings the same moxy and energy to a team like the Miami Dolphins is certainly debatable at this point because he doesn't have the upside the five quarterbacks in the 2018 NFL Draft had despite being our top guy very early in the process.
Drew Lock had 3,339 passing yard, 23 passing touchdowns, and 10 interceptions in 2016. Lock improved on that with 3,964 passing yards, 44 passing touchdowns, and 13 interceptions in 2017. Drew Lock is the most durable quarterback in this class and makes a lot of sense for Miami at 4.
This class doesn't have a quarterback who can read up to six progressions at the moment, but that could change in 2018. Lock does have good footwork for a quarterback. I did a film session on Drew Lock a while ago. You can check it out. It's pretty lengthy with two games and around 35 minutes long. It's also got a SWOT report and SEA report on Lock.
The Buccaneers can cut Vinny Curry or Jason Pierre-Paul, perhaps even both if neither has double digit sacks. One player who could bolster Tampa Bay's defense is Ohio State pass rusher Nick Bosa who would fit right in as Tampa Bay's 4-3 right end.
The 6-4 270 lb Nick Bosa had 16 tackles for a loss and 8.5 sacks. His rip and swim moves are more polished then Joey Bosa's when you compare his tape to his older brothers. He didn't pad the same stats Bosa did. To be fair he was splitting reps with Sam Hubbard and Tyquan Lewis. Nick Bosa should take off in 2018 though.
Here is another film session that Cut Up Corner posted. Nick Bosa did an awesome job frustrating Sam Darnold in Ohio State's Bowl win over USC.
Cincinnati does need to bolster the offensive line. At the same time, in this mock, Ed Oliver has just dropped to Cincinnati at 6. The Bengals are getting Leonard Williams type of value with this pick here plus they lose two defensive tackles to Free Agency. Translation, there is no reason for the Bengals to pass on Ed Oliver with their AFC North division rival the Cleveland Browns on deck.
The 6-3 290 lb Oliver had 47 solo tackles, 19 assisted tackles, 66 total tackles, 22.5 tackles for a loss, 9 deflections from pass breakups, 7 quarterback hurries, and 5 sacks as a true freshman in 2016. Oliver even frustrated Orlando Brown one of our 2018 first round picks in his first career start. Oliver had 16.5 tackles for a loss and 5.5 sacks in 2017.
Voch Lombardi did a preview on Houston defensive tackle Ed Oliver. Check it out by watching the video in the paragraph below. You can also join his Facebook group Lombardi's Draft Talk you can converse with myself, members of the Draft Utopia podcast, other hardcore NFL fans, and Voch Lombardi himself.
The Cleveland Browns miss out on Nick Bosa and Ed Oliver. They get the next best thing at 7 with the 6-5 281 lb Rashan Gary who can play 4-3 left end or 4-3 defensive tackle with his versatility. Gary had 12 tackles for a loss and 6 sacks in 2017. He could play next to Myles Garrett off the edge or plug inside at defensive tackle. Since I like Ogbah, I'm plugging Gary inside at defensive tackle.
Rashan Gary is a 6-5 281 lb defensive tackle that has lined up everywhere on the defensive line except nose tackle. You are talking about someone who can play 4-3 right end, 4-3 left end, 4-3 defensive tackle, 3-4 right end, and 3-4 left end. i love his rip and swim moves on tape as well.
Voch Lombardi did a preview on Michigan defensive tackle Rashan gary. Tell me if you think Gary is a better fit at DT or LE in the comments section below and subscribe to Voch Lombardi on Youtube. He has some of the best content out there.
The Seattle Seahawks use the eighth pick in the 2019 NFL Draft to retool their Legion Of Boom. They lost Richard Sherman their star cornerback and ignored this position in the 2018 NFL Draft. They also need to reload at safety too.
This class is deep at cornerback and thin at safety. So for now, Seattle gets another cornerback from California at 8.
The 6-0 180 lb Camryn Bynum had 37 solo tackles, 21 assisted tackles, 58 total tackles, 8 deflections from pass breakups, and 2 interceptions in his first season as a starter. He looked great on tape versus Luke Falk and Sam Darnold. Bynum is draft eligible for the 2019 NFL Draft despite being a sophomore redshirt.
Dallas needs a number one target for Dak Prescott. One player who can run all 30 different routes that a wide receiver needs to run is the 6-2 207 lb Anthony Litman Johnson out of Buffalo. Dallas has only drafted two big targets in the first round Michael Irvin and Dez Bryant. Anthony Johnson fits the criteria as Jadeveon Clowney's cousin and he ran a 4.43 40-time when he enrolled at Buffalo.
Anthony Johnson had 76 receptions, 1,356 receiving yards, and 14 receiving touchdowns in 2017. Anthony Johnson had a huge first season at Buffalo showing the ability to run any type of route. If he tops that in 2018 there is no reason why he shouldn't go in the top 10.
Anthony Johnson is a gamer. He's high character off the field and a total savage on game day. This guy is a top 10 pick and Dallas would be foolish to pass on him at 10.
Washington takes the best player on the board. They ignored safety in the 2018 NFL Draft. They do have some depth at this position now. Even then, I am hard pressed to find a reason for Washington to pass on Javon Hagan. If Hagan declares he's hands down the best safety in what is a really weak safety class perhaps the worst safety group since 2011 when Rahim Moore was the top safety drafted in the second round.
I just posted film on Javon Hagan. He lined up at both strong safety and free safety last year. He's someone who could surge up boards with a huge season.
Carolina goes for value over need here by taking the best player on the board at 11. Noah Fant reminds me of a young Greg Olsen. By being drafted by the Panthers at 11 Fant gets to succeed Olsen in Carolina giving Cam Newton Christian McCaffrey, D.J. Moore, and Noah Fant as his new trio of weapons long-term.
Lil John on Draft Twitter who edits On The Clock is a huge Panthers fan. He's the fourth member of the Draft Twitter Film team that I'm networking with Daily for the 2019 NFL Draft. He did a film session on Noah Fant and I'm posting Fant's tape here.
I feel like Case Keenum peaked last year. I could be wrong about that though. If Denver is picking at 12 I feel like they will go with the 6-6 225 lb Justin Herbert. Herbert has better short and medium ball accuracy then Drew Lock. His deep ball accuracy and touch on deeper passes needs some work. He's a better decision maker then Lock, but has durability concerns.
Herbert didn't have his supporting cast in Oregon's bowl game versus Boise State. Cut Up Corner has done multiple film sessions on Herbert. I'll probably scout him more personally when I see what Herbert does in 2018 versus a quality opponent on tape.
The Houston Texans extended Bernardrick McKinley, but he's an okay linebacker. He's not an elite inside linebacker and nobody is next to him inside with Brian Cushing gone. Devin White is an elite player and he will take McKinley's game to a whole new level plus McKinley is the ideal linebacker to mentor him.
The 6-1 240 lb Devin White can rush the quarterback, stop the run, or drop back into coverage at a Pro Bowl level. White had 37 solo tackles, 96 assisted tackles, 133 total tackles, 14 tackles for a loss, 5 quarterback hurries, 4.5 sacks, and 3 deflections from pass breakups.
This is a Devin White film session versus Ole Miss. This film session shows why Devin White is one of the elite players in this class. He could even creep into the top 10 with a big season in 2018.
I'm not a fan of either of the edge rushers the Colts drafted in 2018. Chris Ballard will take the best player on the board rather then go for need. I'm putting Clelin Ferrell at 14 because I believe he's the best player on the board here.
Ferrell looked less then impressive versus Alabama despite having 18 tackles for a loss and 9.5 sacks despite being 6-5 260 lbs. I may move him down in my next mock and move someone else up. That says a lot about Jonah Williams too though. I want to watch some of the other prospects before jumping to a conclusion on who I should move up or down.
Green Bay uses this pick from New Orleans to get a hometown right guard to bolster the offensive line. The 6-6 317 lb Beau Benzschwawel is the top interior offensive lineman in this draft and would have been a first round talent last year if he declared for the 2018 NFL Draft. Since he returned to school he goes top 15 and Green Bay gets the hometown Badger at 15.
@QuintinLash Quintin Lash is the fifth member of our Draft Twitter Film team that is currently at 17 members and growing. He posted tape of Beau Benzschawel versus Ohio State. Cut Up Corner also has six different games on this guy too. I've mentioned him multiple times on the podcast last year even going as far as to say he's the best guard not named Quenton Nelson in College Football.
The New York Giants get the best player on the board. Their cornerback tandem currently consists of Janoris Jenkins, Eli Apple, William Gay, and Sam Beal who they just added in the Supplemental Draft. Julian Love is one of the top lockdown corners in this class and he's an upgrade over everyone except Jenkins so drafting him not only gives New York a starting corner, it gives them the depth they need at cornerback if they keep the other corners in depth roles.
Julian Love gave Miami FL wide receiver Ahmmon Richards problems. He also balled out versus Michigan State in this film session below.