2016 NFL Mock Draft: Final Mock 7 Rounds
Round 1 Picks 17-31
Chris Ransom Last Updated: April 26, 2016 with updates every Tuesday leading up to Draft Day.
Atlanta Falcons: Shaq Lawson, RE, Clemson
- Atlanta needs a 4-3 right end that's an upgrade over Adrian Clayborn since the Falcons have the fewest sacks in the NFL. Vic Beasley reunites with Shaq Lawson here.
- The 6-3 270 lb Shaq Lawson played 4-3 left end in 2014 and 4-3 right end in 2015. So Lawson has the versatility to play defensive end on either side. Lawson had 25.5 tackles for a loss, 12.5 sacks, and 5 quarterback hurries in 2015. Lawson can play the 6 technique, 7 techinque, 8 technique, or 9 technique.
- Both Lawson and Dodd impressed at Clemson's Pro Day. It's hard to believe the Falcons won't take one of the two first round defensive ends with Lawson being the superior prospect.
Indianapolis Colts: Andrew Billings, NT, Baylor
- The Colts will be in a sticky situation if Laremy Tunsil, Ronnie Stanley, and Jack Conklin are all gone. Both Jason Spriggs and Taylor Decker are massive reaches at 18. Last week I mocked Ryan Kelly to the Colts, but Nick Martin would be a much better scheme fit for the Colts, and Indianapolis does have an individual workout with Martin scheduled on Wednesday.
- The 6-1 311 lb Andrew Billings is the top defensive lineman on Baylor in the 2016 NFL Draft. Billings can play 4-3 defensive tackle, 3-4 right end, 3-4 left end, and 3-4 nose tackle.
- Billings can play the 0 technique, 1 technique, 2 technique, 3 technique, 4 technique, and 5 technique. Billings also has tremendous character and the Colts do really like him.
- Andrew Billings had 31 solo tackles, 8 assisted tackles, 39 total tackles, 14 tackles for a loss, 5.5 sacks, 3 quarterback hurries, and 1 forced fumble in 2015. Billings seems like an upgrade over David Parry who is more of a #2 nose tackle that got forced into the starting lineup as a rookie.
Buffalo Bills: Kevin Dodd, LE, Clemson
- The Buffalo Bills are targeting a 4-3 left end at 19. They are expected to keep Kyle Williams at defensive tackle.
- Kevin Dodd had 23.5 tackles for a loss and 12 sacks in 2015. Dodd impressed at Clemson's Pro Day and showed enough on tape to convince a team like Buffalo to take him at 19.
New York Jets: Noah Spence, 3-4 ROLB, Eastern Kentucky
- The Jets met with Noah Spence three times during Senior Bowl week, one during the 2016 NFL Combine, and once more at Eastern Kentucky's Pro Day. Calvin Pace is a Free Agent, and drafting Noah Spence to replace him just makes too much sense.
- Noah Spence can play 4-3 right end, 4-3 left end, 4-3 defensive tackle, 3-4 right end, 3-4 left end, 3-4 right outside linebacker, and 3-4 left outside linebacker if you watch how he lined up against Kentucky on tape. He can play the 3 technique, 4 technique, 5 technique, 6 technique, 7 technique, 8 technique, or 9 technique. Spence has an explosive burst off the snap and knows how to place his hand in the dirt.
- Spence did a great job getting to Kentucky quarterback Patrick Towles. Towles threw into coverage 5 times on Eastern Kentucky and threw 2 interceptions. Spence finished his 2015 season with 22.5 tackles for a loss and 11.5 sacks.
Washington Redskins: A'Shawn Robinson, NT, Alabama
- Washington needs a 3-4 nose tackle to replace Terrance Knighton. A'Shawn Robinson is a terrific value pick at 21 and with Josh Norman joining at cornerback, it looks like this pick will be used on a nose tackle.
- The 6-4 307 lb A'Shawn Robinson has the ability to play the 0 technique, 1 technique, 2 technique, 3 technique, 4 technique, or 5 technique. Robinson can be utilized as a 3-4 defensive end on either side, a 3-4 nose tackle, or a 4-3 defensive tackle. Robinson was 6-4 320 lbs, but has lost 13 pounds showing he is taking his conditioning very seriously.
- Robinson's 46 total tackles in 2015 were inferior to his 49 total tackles in 2014. Even though Robinson's tackles have decreased, his foot speed has improved tremendously and so has his ability as a pass rusher thanks to his more explosive foot speed. Not only did he command double teams LSU's interior offensive line, he had plays where he pushed both Jerald Hawkins and Vadal Alexander back to get pressure on Brandon Harris in LSU's game against Alabama.
- Robinson only had 6.5 tackles for a loss and no sacks in 2014. This season Robinson had 10 quarterback hurries, 7.5 tackles for a loss and 3.5 sacks while continuing to receive double teams and even some triple teams from the entire interior offensive line. The fact that this guy is getting triple teamed by the entire interior offensive line along with the fact that he's pushing offensive tackles backwards to get to the line of scrimmage on tape really helps his cause.
- Robinson impressed at Alabama's Pro Day. The New York Giants, New Orleans Saints, Detroit Lions, and Indianapolis Colts all brought Robinson in for an individual workout last week. Washington will meet with Robinson this week and taking Robinson at 21 just makes too much sense from a value standpoint.
Houston Texans: Corey Coleman, WR, Baylor
- Houston brought in Brock Osweiler and Lamar Miller. I think the Texans will take a wide receiver at 22 here. Corey Coleman impressed at Baylor's Pro Day. Coleman and Fuller are the two wide receivers the Texans targeted, and Coleman is a better fit for the Texans here.
Minnesota Vikings: Josh Doctson, WR, TCU
- Chad Greenway agreed to take a paycut. Josh Doctson also impressed at TCU's Pro Day so the Vikings will take either Doctson or Treadwell here. I'm leaning Doctson because Treadwell struggled at his Pro Day not just with his 40 time, but dropped some easy passes in the pass catching drills plus the Vikings worked out Doctson multiple times.
- The 6-2 202 lb Josh Doctson was a #1 wide receiver at TCU the last two seasons. There's no question he'd do an awesome job as Teddy Bridgewater's #1 target.
- In 10 games Doctson has 79 receptions, 1,327 receiving yards, and 14 receiving touchdowns. Doctson struggled in his last two games against Oklahoma State and Kansas. Doctson missed TCU's final 2 games with a wrist injury despite improving in 2015. Doctson had 65 receptions, 1,018 receiving yards, and 11 receiving touchdowns in 2014. Most players in Doctson's situation would have gone pro. The 6-4 195 lb wide receiver returned to school and got his degree.
Cincinnati Bengals: Laquon Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss
- Cincinnati needs a wide receiver to pair with A.J. Green. There is no way the Bengals pass on Laquon Treadwell here.
- Laquon Treadwell caught 72 receptions, 608 receiving yards, and 5 receiving touchdowns in 2013 as a true freshman playing a #2 receiver role next to Donte Moncrief after being a 5 star recruit in high school. Treadwell only caught 48 receptions in 2014 after Moncrief left, but he caught 632 receiving yards and 5 receiving touchdowns before a season ending injury. In 2015, Treadwell had 82 receptions, 1,153 receiving yards, and 11 receiving touchdowns.
- The 6-3 210 lb Treadwell has the hands and route running that teams look for. This guy can run short, medium, or deep routes just like Tyler Boyd as his route running is much more polished in 2015. There were some questions about Treadwell's route running, but that checks out now.
- He can catch the ball effectively. He's just not as productive on tape as Boyd plus he lacks the speed, jumping, explosion, and ability to catch in traffic that both Boyd possesses. Treadwell has always had the size, but lacked the production on tape as well as the statistical production to put him over the top against Boyd during his first two years at Ole Miss. Treadwell is showing that production this season on film reels, and that has to make him the #1 wide receiver prospect for the 2016 NFL Draft at this point.
- Treadwell would join DeVante Parker last years first round pick for the Miami Dolphins and Jarvis Landry to form a deadly wide receiver tahdem. Both Treadwell and Parker could play on the outside with Landry lining up in the slot.
- Vernon Hargreaves III and Tre'Davious White had Treadwell's number this season when covering him on tape, plus Treadwell had an awful game against Mississippi State and they didn't even have their best cornerback Will Redmond who went down for the year with a torn ACL on October 22, 2015.
- Treadwell should fare better against AFC North cornerbacks rather than AFC East cornerbacks. Cincinnati gets their wide receiver to pair with A.J. Green here as Cincinnati brought in Treadwell for an individual workout meaning they probably would not pass on him here.
Pittsburgh Steelers: Mackensie Alexander, CB, Clemson
- Mackensie Alexander is a steal for Pittsburgh at this point. Alexander would come in and be Pittsburgh's #1 field cornerback right away.
- Alexander is such a steal at this point. I don't think anyone picking past the top 25 will expect Alexander to be there, but Arizona will pounce on that as Alexander dominates in man, zone, and press coverage on tape.
- Alexander only had 5 deflections from pass breakups. The impressive stat is that he was thrown to 108 times throughout his career and only 33 of those 108 passes resulted in first downs. Alexander commanded such a presence that teams avoided throwing the ball his way.
Seattle Seahawks: Darron Lee, LOLB, Ohio State
- Darron Lee ran a 4.43 40 time at the 2016 NFL Combine. It's not just that Lee also showed the versatility to play middle linebacker on tape and at the 2016 NFL Combine plus he has some scouts sold on him as a 3-4 middle linebacker now. Teams are that sold on his versatility.
- Lee had 36 solo tackles, 30 assisted tackles, 66 total tackles, 11 tackles for a loss, 7 quarterback hurries, and 4.5 sacks in 2015 as a sophomore redshirt. Lee had 54 solo tackles, 27 assisted tackles, 81 total tackles, 16.5 tackles for a loss, 3 deflections from pass breakups, and 7.5 sacks in 2014 as a freshman redshirt.
- Lee also impressed at Ohio State's Pro Day. Lee is a lock for Seattle with all of the first round left tackles Tunsil, Stanley, Conklin, and Spriggs off the board.
Green Bay Packers: Kenny Clark, NT, UCLA
- The Packers lost B.J. Raji at nose tackle. Well Raji is technically on hiatus. I got the 6-3 314 lb Kenny Clark going here because he played 4-3 defensive tackle, 3-4 right end, 3-4 nose tackle, or 3-4 left end. You can line Clark up at 0 technique, 1 technique, 2 technique, 3 technique, 4 technique, or 5 technique with his ability.
- Clark had 47 solo tackles, 28 assisted tackles, 75 total tackles, 11 tackles for a loss, 6 sacks, and 5 deflections rom pass breakups. The Packers spoke with Clark at UCLA's Pro Day. He's a perfect fit for their defense at 27.
Kansas City Chiefs: Jarran Reed, 3-4 LE, Alabama
- The Kansas City Chiefs go with Jarran Reed, a guy I've mocked to the Chiefs in the third round in my past few mocks. The Chiefs no longer have their third round pick due to tampering during the 2015 NFL Free Agency period wehn signing Jeremy Maclin. Adding Jarran Reed here makes a ton of sense since a lot of NFL teams view him as a first round pick.
- Mike DeVito has an expiring deal at 3-4 left end. One guy who could play that position is Jarran Reed. The 6-4 313 lb defensive lineman started at 3-4 left end for Alabama. Luckily for Reed, the Chiefs have Allen Bailey at 3-4 right end and Dontari Poe at nose tackle so he can play his natural 3-4 left end position in Kansas City.
Arizona Cardinals: Eli Apple, CB, Ohio State
- Eli Apple is a good pick here. Apple would play next to Patrick Peterson here and you can argue that this is an ideal fit for Arizona at 29.
- Apple is a two year starter at boundary cornerback. He did line up at field cornerback to stop Amari Cooper when Alabama lost to Ohio State in the 2015 College Football Playoff.
- Apple seems to excel in zone coverage, but needs more work in press and man coverage. The 6-1 200 lb cornerback had 10 deflections from pass breakups as a freshman redshirt in 2014. Apple only had 8 deflections from pass breakups in 2015 as a sophomore redshirt.
Carolina Panthers: Emmanuel Ogbah, RE, Oklahoma State
- Carolina needs a 4-3 right end to replace Jared Allen. Kony Ealy was a 4-3 left end at Missouri and that's what he still is today in the NFL. Ogbah can play both right end and left end. Ogbah is my #2 defensive end behind Joey Bosa and is a steal at this point.
- Emmanuel Ogbah was a 6-2 233 lb strong side defensive end at left end coming out of high school. At Oklahoma State he bulked up to 6-4 275 lbs over the last two seasons while coming in right away and starting at the LEO position as a 4-3 right end after playing left end in high school giving him the versatility to start at defensive end on either side.
- Ogbah struggled as a freshman and that's understandable when you consider he was 233 lbs coming out of high school and put on 20 lbs of muscle before his 2013 campaign. In 2014 he bulked up to 275 lbs and registered 17 tackles for a loss and 11 sacks. As long as he maintains this weight without adding 20 more lbs Ogbah should succeed as a 4-3 right end in the NFL.
- Ogbah had 17 tackles for a loss once again in 2015. He also improved tremendously with 19 quarterback hurries and 13 sacks in 2015. Ogbah also showed the versatility to be a 4-3 left end as well as a 4-3 right end. Ogbah has done enough to be a top 10 pick. With Tampa Bay taking Hargreaves, Ogbah falls 20 spots where Tampa Bay's arch rival gets a steal in Ogbah at 30.
Denver Broncos: Hunter Henry, TE, Arkansas
- The Denver Broncos have to get a starting tight end after releasing Owen Daniels. Denver is going to have Russell Okung at left tackle and Donald Stephenson at right tackle. The team will also start 2015 draft picks Tyler Sambraillo at left guard and Max Garcia at right guard with Matt Paradis returning at center. Hunter Henry of Arkansas is the top tight end in an extremely thin tight end group.
- Henry had 51 receptions, 739 receiving yards, and 3 receiving touchdowns. The 6-5 253 lb Henry is an excellent blocker with great hands. He struggles in the red zone though and has a tendency to drop passes in the red zone. Henry has the speed, hands, catching in traffic, and the ability to run after the catch for big yards and that's why he's a playmaker as well as the top tight end in the 2016 NFL Draft. With this class being so thin, there's talk someone reaches for Henry in the late first round. Now I'm buying it with no 3-4 right ends or 3-4 middle linebackers worth taking here.